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STPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the QLD Region on 19/05/2026
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR2 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the QLD region for the following period:
[1.] From 0600 hrs 19/05/2026 to 1930 hrs 19/05/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 760 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 605 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
STPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the QLD Region on 19/05/2026
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the QLD region for the following period:
From 0000 hrs 19/05/2026 to 2330 hrs 19/05/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1190 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 755 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
STPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the QLD Region on 18/05/2026
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the QLD region for the following period:
From 1300 hrs 18/05/2026 to 0000 hrs 19/05/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1185 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1120 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Updated maximum generation contingency size in Victoria from 600 MW to 750 MW
This change affects the generator limitations for prior outage conditions especially in the South-west Victoria area. The new generation limitation for outages is now 750 MW. AEMO has implemented this change in production on 13th May 2026 by updating generation constraints to increase the generation upper limits for outage conditions.
Please refer to the Network Outage Schedule for any upcoming outages in south-west Victoria here.
https://www.aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/network-data/network-outage-schedule
For further details on this change please refer to VicGrid Limits Advice or contact VicGrid.
vicgrid.com.au/transmission-planning/planning-the-energy-grid
Terry Liu
AEMO Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7184 132kV line and Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7143 132kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7184 132kV and Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7143 132kV
Cancellation time: 09/05/2026 03:24
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 144067
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7184 132kV line and Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7143 132kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7184 132kV and Kamerunga - Barron Gorge 7143 132kV
Duration: 09/05/2026 02:20 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Yallourn - Rowville 7 220 kV line and Yallourn - Rowville 8 220 kV line in VIC1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: VIC1
Lines: Yallourn - Rowville 7 220 kV and Yallourn - Rowville 8 220 kV
Cancellation time: 07/05/2026 12:34
Constraint set(s) revoked:
V-ROYP78_R_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 144060
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Yallourn - Rowville 7 220 kV line and Yallourn - Rowville 8 220 kV line in VIC1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: VIC1
Lines: Yallourn - Rowville 7 220 kV and Yallourn - Rowville 8 220 kV
Duration: 07/05/2026 11:33 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
V-ROYP78_R_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Yallourn - Rowville 7 220 kV line and Yallourn - Rowville 8 220 kV line in VIC1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: VIC1
Lines: Yallourn - Rowville 7 220 kV and Yallourn - Rowville 8 220 kV
Cancellation time: 07/05/2026 09:14
Constraint set(s) revoked:
V-ROYP78_R_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 144058
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations